Sensitivity Analysis and Applicability Evaluation of the AquaCrop Model for Sesame Crop Parameters

doi:10.15933/j.cnki.1004-3268.2024.07.017

Journal of Henan Agricultural Sciences ›› 2024, Vol. 53 ›› Issue (7): 149-159.DOI: 10.15933/j.cnki.1004-3268.2024.07.017

Special Issue: 基于模型的作物生长特性模拟及应用专题

• Agricultural Information and Engineering and Agricultural Product Processing • Previous Articles Next Articles

Sensitivity Analysis and Applicability Evaluation of the AquaCrop Model for Sesame Crop Parameters

LI Mengyao^1,2，GUAN Haoyue^1,2，ZHANG Jiantao²，HUANG Ming¹，LI Feng³，RONG Yasi³，LI Youjun¹，LI Guoqiang²

（1.College of Agriculture，Henan University of Science and Technology，Luoyang 471023，China；2.Institute of Agricultural Information Technology，Henan Academy of Agricultural Sciences/Key Laboratory of Huang‑Huai‑Hai Smart Agricultural Technology，Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs，Zhengzhou 450002，China；3.Sesame Research Center，Henan Academy of Agricultural Sciences，Zhengzhou 450002，China）

Received:2024-02-20 Published:2024-07-15 Online:2024-08-01

基于AquaCrop 模型的芝麻作物参数敏感性分析及模型适用性评价

李梦瑶^1,2，关皓月^1,2，张建涛²，黄明¹，李丰³，戎亚思³，李友军¹，李国强²

（1.河南科技大学农学院，河南洛阳 471023；2.河南省农业科学院农业信息技术研究所/农业农村部黄淮海智慧农业技术重点实验室，河南郑州 450002；3. 河南省农业科学院芝麻研究中心，河南郑州 450002）

通讯作者: 李友军（1962-），男，河南洛阳人，教授，博士，主要从事作物高产高效栽培理论与技术研究。E-mail：lyj@haust.edu.cn 李国强（1984-），男，河南林州人，研究员，博士，主要从事农业信息技术研究。E-mail：hnagri@qq.com
作者简介:李梦瑶（1999-），女，河南鹤壁人，在读硕士研究生，研究方向：作物生长模拟。E-mail：lmy990602@163.com
基金资助:
河南省重点研发与推广专项（科技攻关）（222102110117）；国家自然科学基金青年基金项目（31301239）；河南省农业科学院农业经济与信息研究所科技创新领军人才培育项目（2021KJCX02）

Abstract

Abstract: The objective is to enhance the calibration efficiency of the AquaCrop model for sesame crop parameters and verify the applicability of the model. The initial value and value range of sesame crop parameters were determined based on the experimental data（2022—2023）and related literatures.The EFAST method was used to perform global sensitivity analysis of 53 sesame crop parameters，uncertainty analysis of simulation results and parameters calibration validation. The results showed that 27 parameters were sensitive to the maximum biomass of each treatment，including CDM，CDSE，POFE，RSWT，PSENSP，PSTOSP，RSWB and ECSW with TS_i above 0.3.And 14 parameters were sensitive to grain yield of each treatment，including POHX，RSWT，CDSE，DMCON，PSTO and PSTOSP with TS_i higher than 0.2.The decision coefficient（R²） of simulated and measured canopy coverage and aboveground biomass ranged from 0.875 to 0.954 and 0.951 to 0.970，respectively.Futhermore，the normalized root mean square error（NRMSE） ranged from 11. 5% to 18.1% and 18. 9% to 27.7%，respectively.Meanwhile，the Nash‑Sutcliffe efficiency coefficients（NSE） were 0.873—0.940 and 0.930—0.959，respectively.The relative error between the simulated and measured values of yield was between 0.03 and 0.07.The localized AquaCrop model can better simulate the dynamic development process of sesame，which can be used to optimize sesame management and forecast future production.

Key words: Sesame, AquaCrop model, Parameter sensitivity, EFAST, Applicability

摘要： 为探明AquaCrop模型芝麻作物参数校准方法，验证模型适用性，以2022—2023年试验数据为基础，通过查阅文献资料，确定芝麻参数初始值和取值范围，采用EFAST方法对AquaCrop模型53个作物参数进行全局敏感性分析、模拟结果的不确定分析并进行参数校准验证。结果表明，对各处理最大生物量均敏感的参数有27个，其中全局敏感性指数（TS_i）均大于0.3的参数有CDM、CDSE、POFE、RSWT、PSENSP、PSTOSP、RSWB和ECSW；对各处理籽粒产量均敏感的参数有14个，其中TS_i均大于0.2的参数有POHX、RSWT、CDSE、DMCON、PSTO和PSTOSP。校准验证过程中冠层覆盖度和地上部生物量模拟值和实测值决定系数（R²）分别介于0.875~0.954、0.951~0.970；标准均方根误差（NRMSE）分别介于11.5%~18.1%、18.9%~27.7%；纳什效率系数（NSE）分别介于0.873~0.940、0.930~0.959。籽粒产量模拟值与实测值相对误差介于0.03~0.07。本地化后的AquaCrop模型能够较好地模拟芝麻生长发育过程，可用于芝麻优化管理或未来产量预测。

关键词: 芝麻, AquaCrop模型, 参数敏感性, EFAST, 适用性

CLC Number:

S126
S565.3

LI Mengyao, GUAN Haoyue, ZHANG Jiantao, HUANG Ming, LI Feng, RONG Yasi, LI Youjun, LI Guoqiang. Sensitivity Analysis and Applicability Evaluation of the AquaCrop Model for Sesame Crop Parameters[J]. Journal of Henan Agricultural Sciences, 2024, 53(7): 149-159.

李梦瑶, 关皓月, 张建涛, 黄明, 李丰, 戎亚思, 李友军, 李国强. 基于AquaCrop 模型的芝麻作物参数敏感性分析及模型适用性评价[J]. 河南农业科学, 2024, 53(7): 149-159.

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Sensitivity Analysis and Applicability Evaluation of the AquaCrop Model for Sesame Crop Parameters

基于AquaCrop 模型的芝麻作物参数敏感性分析及模型适用性评价

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